TY - BOOK AU - Dworsky,Lawrence N. TI - Probably not: future prediction using probability and statistical inference SN - 9780470184011 (pbk.) U1 - 519.54 DWO 22 PY - 2008/// CY - Hoboken, N.J. PB - Wiley-Interscience KW - Prediction theory KW - Probabilities KW - Mathematical statistics N1 - Includes bibliographical references and index; An introduction to probability -- Probability distribution functions and some basics -- Building a bell -- Random walks -- Life insurance and social security -- Binomial probabilities -- Pseudorandom numbers and Monte Carlo simulations -- Some gambling games in detail -- Traffic lights and traffic -- Combined and conditional probabilities -- Scheduling and waiting -- Stock market portfolios -- Benford, Parrondo, and Simpson -- Networks, infectious disease propagation, and chain letters -- Bird counting -- Statistical mechanics and heat -- Introduction to statistical analysis -- Chaos and quanta UR - http://www.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0806/2007050155-t.html ER -